Bounding the lumping error in Markov chain dynamics

نویسندگان

  • Karl-Heinz Hoffmann
  • Peter Salamon
چکیده

Forming lumped states in a Markov chain is a very useful device leading to a coarser level of description. The Markov chain on these lumped states is often taken as an approximation for the time evolution of the unlumped chain. In the present work we derive a bound on the error in this approximation.

برای دانلود رایگان متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Inference of higher order substitution dynamics by Markov chain lumping

We apply Markov chain lumping techniques to aggregate codons from an empirical substitution matrix. The standard genetic code as well as higher order amino acid substitution groups are identified. Since the aggregates are derived from first principles they do not rely on system dependent assumptions made beforehand, e.g. regarding criteria on what should constitute an amino acid group. We there...

متن کامل

Markov Chain Analogue Year Daily Rainfall Model and Pricing of Rainfall Derivatives

In this study we model the daily rainfall occurrence using Markov Chain Analogue Yearmodel (MCAYM) and the intensity or amount of daily rainfall using three different probability distributions; gamma, exponential and mixed exponential distributions. Combining the occurrence and intensity model we obtain Markov Chain Analogue Year gamma model (MCAYGM), Markov Chain Analogue Year exponentia...

متن کامل

Lumpings of Markov Chains, Entropy Rate Preservation, and Higher-Order Lumpability

A lumping of a Markov chain is a coordinate-wise projection of the chain. We characterise the entropy rate preservation of a lumping of an aperiodic and irreducible Markov chain on a finite state space by the random growth rate of the cardinality of the realisable preimage of a finite-length trajectory of the lumped chain and by the information needed to reconstruct original trajectories from t...

متن کامل

Development of Markov Chain Grey Regression Model to Forecast the Annual Natural Gas Consumption

Accurate forecasting of annual gas consumption of the country plays an important role in energy supply strategies and policy making in this area.  Markov chain grey regression model is considered to be a superior model for analyzing and forecasting annual gas consumption.  This model Markov is a combination of the Markov chain and grey regression models. According to this model, the residual er...

متن کامل

A Symbolic Algorithm for Optimal Markov Chain Lumping

Many approaches to tackle the state explosion problem of Markov chains are based on the notion of lumpability, which allows computation of measures using the quotient Markov chain, which, in some cases, has much smaller state space than the original one. We present, for the first time, a symbolic algorithm and its implementation for the lumping of Markov chains that are represented using Multi-...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

عنوان ژورنال:
  • Appl. Math. Lett.

دوره 22  شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2009